Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.532897 0.593128 0.658222 0.733935 0.819749 0.914186 1.026245
2025-03-30 0.429535 0.510326 0.604376 0.722519 0.867752 1.041467 1.266488
2025-04-06 0.373710 0.463417 0.573105 0.718201 0.906742 1.145691 1.475035
2025-04-13 0.323039 0.414045 0.529648 0.688910 0.905188 1.192360 1.608744
2025-04-20 0.297402 0.392572 0.517660 0.696433 0.949175 1.299491 1.832041
2025-04-27 0.276688 0.374837 0.507802 0.704172 0.992051 1.406987 2.065870
2025-05-04 0.258663 0.358670 0.497891 0.709711 1.030718 1.510406 2.303692
2025-05-11 0.242130 0.342885 0.486655 0.711429 1.062633 1.605322 2.537634
2025-05-18 0.229607 0.331667 0.480744 0.719931 1.104770 1.718999 2.814156
2025-05-25 0.212250 0.311818 0.460184 0.703589 1.105262 1.764683 2.979405
2025-06-01 0.203284 0.303923 0.457030 0.714128 1.149857 1.886868 3.292669
2025-06-08 0.191597 0.290906 0.444786 0.708580 1.166437 1.961960 3.528100
2025-06-15 0.183211 0.282703 0.439861 0.715215 1.205367 2.081777 3.866868
2025-06-22 0.172211 0.269569 0.426012 0.705520 1.214511 2.148555 4.111065
2025-06-29 0.163269 0.259165 0.415856 0.701216 1.232643 2.233299 4.402031
2025-07-06 0.150737 0.241991 0.393134 0.672719 1.203034 2.222991 4.491161
2025-07-13 0.145470 0.236734 0.390388 0.680040 1.241861 2.350812 4.896328
2025-07-20 0.140623 0.231865 0.387930 0.687571 1.281568 2.484256 5.332846
2025-07-27 0.135779 0.226685 0.384533 0.692961 1.317321 2.612989 5.776988
2025-08-03 0.130713 0.220796 0.379448 0.694632 1.345492 2.728288 6.205767
2025-08-10 0.126928 0.216966 0.377840 0.702905 1.388019 2.879348 6.746142
2025-08-17 0.120081 0.207191 0.364615 0.687004 1.377602 2.910306 6.983280
2025-08-24 0.117130 0.204408 0.364334 0.697259 1.424770 3.078452 7.609003